Suggestions for a slightly better world #3

Photo by Tim Reckmann (FotoDB.de)Some people think it’s a good idea to spend money on schemes or systems that promise to improve your chances of winning the lotto or lottery. I can tell you one thing: the only one who is certain to end up with more money is the guy selling the scheme. There simply is no such thing as manipulating chance. Probability calculation is an exact science. Although it might feel a bit counterintuitive, the chance of the winning numbers being 1-2-3-4-5-6 is exactly the same as 5-18-22-36-40-42 (for all you know this could well be next week’s winning combination – if you decide to put this to the test and it turns out to be indeed your shortcut to millions, do let me know in a reply to this post; I will then gladly mail you another set of numbers: my bank account). And those systems that claim to increase your chances of winning use exactly stuff like this counterintuitivity to convince the targeted victims that it makes sense to exclude all combinations with e.g. 4, 5 or 6 consecutive numbers. Pure brainless nonsense.

So: please improve the world just a tiny bit by never even considering to spend money on schemes that claim to improve in any way your chances of winning. If of course you want to continue spending money on these luck based games at all: you can also put probablilty calculation to proper use to get some insight in your real chances of ever winning some serious money.

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